You may be wondering what those two have in common?
Nothing really. I just wanted to tell you about these two things.
First - Michelle Malkin has set up a petition to send to Sarah Palin to give her our support. It doesn’t matter if you voted for her or not, what matters is the smear machine is now going after her. The wanna be feminists/liberals can’t stand it that a strong, attractive, Mother has shown the world that being a female equivalent of a Eunuch isn’t what the world wants!
Go here for Michelle’s blog - the link to the petition is there.
Now the Lottery.
Could God be leaving us a message?
The evening after Obama wins the election his home states pick three lotto was 666!
I know there are geeks out there who probably know how often that happens, please share with us if you can!
Tags: Palin
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16 users responded in this post
Okay, that is just disturbing!
Ironic that we can write on a postage stamp the information we know about Obama and yet the mainstream media has all but destroyed Palin’s reputation. A reputation of a highly moral, pro-life, intelligent, attractive, mother of five and I suppose that if you repeat a lie enough eventually it becomes fact.
I suspect that McCain’s sleazy campaign workers were secretly on the payroll of Obama and deliberately sought to discredit her and try and make her look a fool. We need a full investigation. I thought it extremely odd when information about her wardrobe came out presumably from Nicole Wallace. The whole campaign of McCain’s was a disgrace it was run like a chimps’ garden party so obviously things were seriously amiss.
“I know there are geeks out there who probably know how often that happens, please share with us if you can!”
Oh yeah! My time to shine! So the pick each digit individually, which can be any number 0,1,2,…, 9 so that there are 10 options for the first digit, 10 options for the second digit, and 10 options for the third digit. The multiplication rule says that since this is a Bernoulli trial (each pick is independent) you multiply the number of possibilities together, so 10×10x10=1000. Hence the odds are 1/1000.
The other way to see it is to just think “well, what possible numbers could be picked? Any number between 000 and 999.” That’s 1000 numbers, so the odds are 1/1000 or .001.
So if I didn’t make it clear before, this means that with fairly high probability, you could expect it to happen every 1000 Lotterys. I don’t know it it’s daily lottery, but if it is everyday (including Sundays), this would happen around once every 2 years and 8 months.
Bobby -
Is that any of the number 1 - 9 that could end up being duplicated?
EX - every 2 years & 8 months the number 1-1-1 could come up, and so on up to 9-9-9. Would this make the probablity of 6-6-6 coming up even less likely?
Or am I putting too much thought to this?
Well, it would be the digits 0-9. But I took into account the fact that any one of the digits could be duplicated above. The fact that all three digits happen to be the same isn’t any less probable than all three digits being different. Am I understanding you correctly?
Got it.
Thanks!
…
Really?
1/1000 chance isn’t really that small (to me) considering the mutation rate is 1×10^-8 and actually mutations occur quickly in large populations…
I lost my train of thought.
Rae -
I think I lost my train of thought 2 years ago!
I agree with you that the chances are higher than I thought it would be. They actually do 2 pick 3 drawings a day (I think).
Don’t the odds change when you factor in the fact that it happened on a certain date in a certain state?
I mean what are the odds that 666 would come up every 4 years from now on on Nov 5th.
It’s not just that it came up…it’s when it came up. See?
So for each day, the chance is 1/1000. So at the beginning of the drawing, the chance that it would come up 666 was 1/1000, as it was for any number. True, it isn’t THAT improbable, but it is very interesting that a number with religious significance came up on a day that was very significant. It’s interesting if nothing else.
Yeah, I can see that the odds wouldn’t change. But I still say God was tellin’ us something. Not that anyone is listening. You see what you want to see and hear what you want to hear…
Yes there are higher probabilities that similar numbers will come up at the same time. It is also harder to have high or low numbers than middle numbers.
This is why “777″, “3 Bars” or “3 Cherries” on slot machines pay out, where 111, 222, ect.. do not.
Do understand that picking a date and number will increase the odds. So placing a specific number is a 1 in 1000 chance (e.g, 666), but on a specific day increases the probability even higher. I think the odds are 1 in 365,000 (on a specific date in a single year) or 1 in 1,460,000 (on specific date every four years) that “666″ would happen on a specific date.
Essentially it is 10*10*10*365*4 if you want to go out to a four year cycle.
Ok, back to working as the administrator of this and several other blogs. Got some upgrading to do….
Stu
AKA - Valerie’s nerd of a husband.
Gotta love the nerds!
“Yes there are higher probabilities that similar numbers will come up at the same time. It is also harder to have high or low numbers than middle numbers.”
Hi Stu. How are the numbers drawn then? I guess I assumed each digit was drawn randomly, 0-9, all with equal probability.
Yes numbers are randomly drawn and has an equal chance to occur, but being random doesn’t equate to an even distribution of numbers. Each number has an odd of occurrence, some will occur more often than others.
Here is how the numbers came up for 108 pick three drawings. You will see that the spread for some numbers is somewhat even, there are few high and low probability numbers.
0 - 125
1 - 22
2 - 24
3 - 26
4 - 16
5 - 20
6 - 25
7 - 19
8 - 32
9 - 18
Explaining beyond this is difficult and beyond my knowledge. This gets into the strange world of “Chaos Theory” or the “buttery fly effect”. Read about it on Wikipedia if you want to see bizarre mathematics.
And no, I am not that smart… I am just a sponge for knowledge and it rarely leaves. It is a curse and a blessing. Oh yeah it helps that I deal with statistics often…
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